2026

• Börgel, F., I. Ruvalcaba Baroni, L. Barghorn, L. Borchert, B. Cahill, C. Dutheil, L. Esters, M. Falarz, H. L. Filipsson, M. Gröger, J. Hänninen, M. Hieronymus, E. Jakobson, M. P. Karami, K. Kuliński, T. Liblik, H. E. M. Meier, G. Messori, L. Naumov, T. Neumann, P. Post, G. Rehder, A. Rutgersson and G. S. Voelker (2026). Large-scale atmospheric circulation and its impact on the Baltic Sea region: controls, predictability and consequences. Earth Syst. Dynam. 17: 415–450, doi: 10.5194/esd-17-415-2026
• Gröger, M., F. Börgel, C. Dutheil, S. Karsten, H. E. M. Meier, K. Safonova and G. S. Völker (2026). The world’s enclosed seas highlight the need for urgent emission reductions and societal adaptation. Commun. Earth Environ. online, doi: 10.1038/s43247-026-03412-3
• Naumov, L. and H. E. M. Meier (2026). Major Baltic Inflows do not have long-lasting consequences for 20th-century hypoxia in the central Baltic Sea. Commun. Earth Environ. 7: 205 doi: 10.1038/s43247-026-03245-0

2025

• Barghorn, L., F. Börgel, M. Gröger and H. E. M. Meier (2025). Atlantic multidecadal variability control on European sea surface temperatures is mainly externally forced. Environ. Res. Lett. 20: 034044, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/adb6bf
• Barghorn, L., H. E. M. Meier, H. Radtke, T. Neumann and L. Naumov (2025). Warm saltwater inflows strengthen oxygen depletion in the western Baltic Sea. Clim. Dyn. 63: 29, doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07501-x
• Börgel, F., S. Karsten, K. Rummel and U. Gräwe (2025). From weather data to river runoff: using spatiotemporal convolutional networks for discharge forecasting. Geosci. Model Dev. 18: 2005-2019, doi: 10.5194/gmd-18-2005-2025

2024

• Ahola, M., L. Bergström, M. Blomqvist, D. Boedeker, F. Börgel, I. Carlén, T. Carlund, J. Carstensen, J. P. A. Christensen, J. De La Cueva, M. Futter, E. Gaget, O. Glibko, M. Gröger, V. Dierschke, C. Dieterich, M. Frederiksen, A. Galatius, B. Gustafsson, C. Frauen, A. Halkka, C. Halling, N. Heibeck, J. Holfort, M. Huss, K. Hyytiäinen, K. Jürgens, M. Jüssi, M. Kallasvuo, M. Kankainen, B. Karlson, A. M. Karlsson, M. Karlsson, A. Kiessling, E. Kjellström, A. Kontautas, D. Krause-Jensen, A. Kremp, K. Kuliński, S. Kuningas, J. Käyhkö, J. Laht, A. Laine, M. Labrenz, G. Lange, A. Lappalainen, T. Laurila, M. Lehtiniemi, K.-O. Lerche, U. Lips, G. Martin, M. McCrackin, H. E. M. Meier, N. Mustamäki, B. Müller-Karulis, R. Naddafi, L. Niskanen, A. Nyström Sandman, J. Olsson, O. Outinen, D. Pavón-Jordán, J. Pålsson, M. Rantanen, A. Razinkovas-Baziukas, G. Rehder, J. H. Reißmann, M. Reutgård, S. Ross, A. Rutgersson, J. Saarinen, L. Saks, O. Savchuk, G. Schernewski, J. Schumacher, M. Sofiev, K. Spich, G. Srėbalienė, S. Suikkanen, J. Särkkä, M. Viitasalo, J. Vielma, J. Virtasalo, I. Wallin, R. Weisse, J. Wikner, W. Zhang, E. Zorita and Ö. Östman (2024). Climate Change in the Baltic Sea 2024 Fact Sheet. HELCOM Baltic Marine Environment Protection Commission - Helsinki Commission. https://helcom.fi/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Baltic-Sea-Climate-Change-Fact-Sheet_2024.pdf
• Dutheil, C., S. Lal, M. Lengaigne, S. Cravatte, C. Menkès, A. Receveur, F. Börgel, M. Gröger, F. Houlbreque, R. Le Gendre, I. Mangolte, A. Peltier and H. E. M. Meier (2024). The massive 2016 marine heatwave in the Southwest Pacific: An “El Niño–Madden-Julian Oscillation” compound event. Sci. Adv. 10: eadp2948, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adp2948
• Gröger, M., C. Dutheil, F. Börgel and M. H. E. Meier (2024). Drivers of marine heatwaves in a stratified marginal sea. Clim. Dyn. 62: 3231-3243, doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-07062-5
• Gröger, M., F. Börgel, S. Karsten, H. E. M. Meier, K. Safonova, C. Dutheil, A. Receveur and P. Polte (2024). Future climate change and marine heatwaves - Projected impact on key habitats for herring reproduction. Sci. Total Environ. 951: 175756, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175756

2023

• Aue, L. and F. Börgel (2023). From “Bangtan Boys” to “International Relations Professor”: Mapping self‐identifications in the un’s twitter public. Politics Gov. 11: 120-133, doi: 10.17645/pag.v11i3.6769
• Börgel, F., M. Gröger, H. E. M. Meier, C. Dutheil, H. Radtke and L. Borchert (2023). The impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Baltic Sea temperatures limited to winter. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci. 6: 64, doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00373-8
• Börgel, F., T. Neumann, J. Rooze, H. Radtke, L. Barghorn and H. E. M. Meier (2023). Deoxygenation of the Baltic Sea during the last millennium. Front. Mar. Sci. 10: 1174039, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1174039
• Dutheil, C., H. E. M. Meier, M. Gröger and F. Börgel (2023). Warming of Baltic Sea water masses since 1850. Clim. Dyn. 61: 1311-1331, doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06628-z
• Meier, H. E. M., L. Barghorn, F. Börgel, M. Gröger, L. Naumov and H. Radtke (2023). Multidecadal climate variability dominated past trends in the water balance of the Baltic Sea watershed. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci. 6: 58, doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00380-9
• Naumov, L., H. E. M. Meier and T. Neumann (2023). Dynamics of oxygen sources and sinks in the Baltic Sea under different nutrient inputs. Front. Mar. Sci. 10: 1233324, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1233324
• Naumov, L., T. Neumann, H. Radtke and H. E. M. Meier (2023). Limited ventilation of the central Baltic Sea due to elevated oxygen consumption. Front. Mar. Sci. 10: 1175643, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1175643

2022

• Börgel, F., H. E. M. Meier, M. Gröger, M. Rhein, C. Dutheil and J. M. Kaiser (2022). Atlantic multidecadal variability and the implications for North European precipitation. Environ. Res. Lett. 17: 044040, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5ca1
• Dutheil, C., H. E. M. Meier, M. Gröger and F. Börgel (2022). Understanding past and future sea surface temperature trends in the Baltic Sea. Clim. Dyn. 58: 3021-3039, doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-06084-1
• Gröger, M., M. Placke, H. E. M. Meier, F. Börgel, S.-E. Brunnabend, C. Dutheil, U. Gräwe, M. Hieronymus, T. Neumann, H. Radtke, S. Schimanke, J. Su and G. Väli (2022). The Baltic Sea Model Intercomparison Project (BMIP) – a platform for model development, evaluation, and uncertainty assessment. Geosci. Model Dev. 15, 22: 8613-8638, doi: 10.5194/gmd-15-8613-2022
• Meier, H. E. M., M. Kniebusch, C. Dieterich, M. Groger, E. Zorita, R. Elmgren, K. Myrberg, M. P. Ahola, A. Bartosova, E. Bonsdorff, F. Borgel, R. Capell, I. Carlen, T. Carlund, J. Carstensen, O. B. Christensen, V. Dierschke, C. Frauen, M. Frederiksen, E. Gaget, A. Galatius, J. J. Haapala, A. Halkka, G. Hugelius, B. Hunicke, J. Jaagus, M. Jussi, J. Kayhko, N. Kirchner, E. Kjellstrom, K. Kulinski, A. Lehmann, G. Lindstrom, W. May, P. A. Miller, V. Mohrholz, B. Muller-Karulis, D. Pavon-Jordan, M. Quante, M. Reckermann, A. Rutgersson, O. P. Savchuk, M. Stendel, L. Tuomi, M. Viitasalo, R. Weisse and W. Y. Zhang (2022). Climate change in the Baltic Sea region: a summary. Earth Syst. Dynam. 13: 457-593, doi: 10.5194/esd-13-457-2022

2021

• Lehmann, A., K. Myrberg, P. Post, I. Chubarenko, I. Dailidiene, H. H. Hinrichsen, K. Hüssy, T. Liblik, U. Lips, H. E. M. Meier and T. Bukanova (2021). Salinity dynamics of the Baltic Sea. Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss. 2021, preprint: 1-36, doi: 10.5194/esd-2021-15
• Meier, H. E. M., C. Dieterich, M. Gröger, C. Dutheil, F. Börgel, K. Safonova, O. B. Christensen and E. Kjellström (2021). Oceanographic regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea until 2100. Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss. 68, preprint: 1-66, doi: 10.5194/esd-2021-68

2020

• Börgel, F., C. Frauen, T. Neumann and H. E. M. Meier (2020). The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation controls the impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on North European climate. Environ. Res. Lett. 15: 104025, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aba925
• Meier, H. E. M., F. Börgel, C. Frauen and H. Radtke (2020). Commentary: Lake or Sea? The unknown future of central Baltic Sea herring. Front. Ecol. Evol. 8: 55, doi: 10.3389/fevo.2020.00055

2019

• Kniebusch, M., H. E. M. Meier, T. Neumann and F. Börgel (2019). Temperature variability of the Baltic Sea since 1850 and attribution to atmospheric forcing variables. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans 124: 4168-4187, doi: 10.1029/2018JC013948
• Radtke, H., F. Börgel, S.-E. Brunnabend, A. Eggert, M. Kniebusch, H. E. M. Meier, D. Neumann, T. Neumann and M. Placke (2019). Validator - a web-based interactive tool for validation of ocean models at oceanographic stations. J. Open Source Software 7: 18, doi: 10.5334/jors.259

2018

• Börgel, F., C. Frauen, T. Neumann, S. Schimanke and H. E. M. Meier (2018). Impact of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on Baltic Sea variability. Geophys. Res. Lett. 45: 9880-9888, doi: 10.1029/2018gl078943